Tropical Storm Erika is, I think, a trickster.
It came in on the heels of Tropical Storm Danny, which dissipated in the Caribbean last week. For the past several days, I’ve watched the National Hurricane Center – the government’s agency – and Accuweather, a private weather outfit – track the storm. The predictions have vacillated from the storm tracking away from Florida to coming right into Palm Beach County, where we live.
A tropical storm is not a hurricane. Although TS often have an eye, an area of circulation like a hurricane, they are less organized and the winds are below 74 m.p.h. But they do pack a lot of rain. Erika, for instance, dumped 12 inches of rain in 12 hours on the island of Dominica, resulting in flash floods, mudslides, and four fatalities.
In 2012, TS Isaac stalled over our area for hours and dumped so much rain that our neighborhood flooded to the point where our mailbox became an island. I was coming home from the gym during the torrential downpour, my car stalled out, and I eventually had to have the engine replaced. We couldn’t get out of our neighborhood for two days.
Today I started going through our hurricane supplies – which haven’t seen the light of day in 10 years, since Hurricane Wilma in 2005. I found useless flashlights, useless battery-operated lanterns, corroded batteries, portable fans that no longer worked. So I made my hurricane run. I stopped by our local Walgreens drug store first – no flashlights, a paltry selection of batteries. But their coolers were on sale, so I bought one.
I moved on to the grocery store, where vast palettes of bottled water took up the front of the store, where canned goods had been pretty much cleaned out, and flashlights were gone. I stocked up on food supplies I thought we might need – including pet food for two dogs and two cats. But tomorrow I’ll make another run for stuff I overlooked. At another drug store, I bought a ten-pound bag of ice. Meanwhile, Rob was at another place, filling several containers with gas for the generator that has sat in our garage since 2005 and for a propane tank so we can use the grill.
In many ways, the bare shelves and the lack of goods reminds me of what used to happen in Venezuela when I was a kid and a revolution was in the works. Schools closed, grocery store shelves laid bare, gas stations lined with cars waiting for a pump so tanks could be topped off.
After the hurricane season of 2005 – when we were hit three times and lost power for a total of about two weeks – all gas stations in South Florida were supposed to have backup generators. I discovered tonight, thanks to a map on a local website, that only a handful in our area have those generators. So, tomorrow, we top off our car gas tanks as well.
The most recent forecast for the storm is that if it survives passage through an unfavorable area in the Caribbean without being torn apart, it will hit our county as a cat 1 hurricane. I remember that in October 2005, when I heard the Wilma was just a cat 1, I didn’t worry too much about it.Big mistake.
At one point in its existence, Wilma had become a cat 5 hurricane, with winds of 185 m.p.h, and a barometric pressure of just 882 millibars. And that pressure is the telling factor. When it stalled out over our area, the skylights in our roof were vibrating so violently I was sure they were going to pop out. Rob and I took turns gripping the handle of our front door, which shook so violently we thought it would explode outward from the pressure, which wasn’t anywhere near 882 mb at that point. Fortunately, Wilma was moving fast.
The aftermath of a hurricane is usually worse than the hurricane itself, unless you’re dealing with a Katrina, which occurred a decade ago today, as I’m writing this. Katrina brought the city of New Orleans to its knees, 1,800 people died, and the government negligence exposed the Bush administration for the incompetent idiots they were. In the absence of electricity, the heat and humidity and the bugs are the worst of it. But this time, we have a generator that we can power up as soon as the storm has passed. It means we can plug in the fridge. It means we won’t lose frozen foods. It means we can take turns standing in front of the fridge with the door open so we can cool off.
So if you leave comments that don’t appear on the blog, it means we don’t have electricity or Internet. It means we are going quietly crazy here in South Florida and are contemplating a move to the mountains!
Oh, Erika. You trickster. Surprise us! Get shredded to bits before you reach the south Atlantic waters where you could strengthen. Just move on out to sea. You aren’t welcome here.
I hope it’s slowing down, and you aren’t sitting on your roof now as your house floats down the street……..stay safe and well!
Years ago I was in Puerto Rico, and watched a tropical storm advance over the ocean – one of the most amazing things I’ve ever seen.
It was torn apart!! Is has dissipated!
Have been watching it. The computer models are so diverse. Some models showing it shifting more to the west; some show it coming straight up thru the middle of the state; some still showing it coming up hugging the entire eastern coastline. It seems to depend on how much of it is sheared as it passes across the mountains in the islands between south FL and those islands out in the ocean to the southeast. For the first time in recorded history, the weather gurus said that the ocean temperature in that
open region has NEVER registered 90 degrees, which it now does. So, if Erika isn’t sheared completely apart, they say the 90-degree sea will allow it to re-organize into probably a Cat1. Where it goes from there is anyone’s guess, I suppose. Just have to wait it out. Tis the season…..
We had to prepare for our first hurricane scare last October in Maui. It didn’t come to much more than semi-high winds and lots of rain, but the preparation was the same. We are right on the ocean, but on the fourth floor of a block building, so we didn’t worry too much about flooding. I have our other home pretty well fortified for a possible earthquake or fire, but hadn’t thought much about the tropical place. Now we keep water there all the time and some canned goods, just in case someone else is using it when disaster comes a-calling.
My next purchase is going to be a generator.
Hope Erica moves right on by you!! Stay safe and cool.
Thanks, Nancy!
And now Hawaii is being threatened by a hurricane, too, Ignacio.
We’re hoping this sucker just dissipates over Hispaniola.
Altho we’re north of you guys, we live on an island on the beach, so even when TSs or hurricanes don’t quite hit land and go by us out in the water, we get hit really hard, Stupidly, not long after we moved here from GA, we decided to “ride out” our first hurricane. Never, ever, ever, will we do such a thing again! It was terrifying. Our home is on a high sand dune, so flooding doesn’t impact the house itself. But, the winds are unbelievable and the streets were a river. A1A, which runs parallel to the Atlantic and only by a couple of hundred yards in most places, was deep ocean water. No visible streets. The next hurricane, when the evacuation order was declared, we were on the road and out of here!! We have three bridges to the Mainland, and when winds reach a sustained 39mph, the bridges close and no one can get on or off the Island. After our second one, we happened to be the first car coming back home; first car back across the bridge. It was the absolute spookiest experience in the world….no people, no vehicles, every structure boarded up, water still covering A1A but gradually diminishing. People who think it’s “fun” to stay once a mandatory evacuation order has been given are required to sign papers with the local cops and leave contact #s for relatives, because NONE of the search and rescue organizations remain once the bridges close. You’re on your own then. Long-time residents like Trish and Rob know the drill and know how to prepare, which they are doing. STAY SAFE, Guys!!!! Maybe this one will stay away!
Now the track has shifted to western Florida. Maybe it will shift again, on out into the Gulf!
stay safe guys!
Safe and sweltering! Thanks, Nat.